Will remain tropical for a bit with another cyclogenesis forecast at
5 p.m. Wednesday from the Cape. But won't make her big debut due in part from the presence of another low onshore near Puerto Rico. Elsa isn&rsquo...170517CRSJ0604-11
Read More »Beckenham, SC-US: Tropical Weather to bring more rain and winds during the upcoming 24 hours » Read More LinkOcala, FL-US: Florida to get 2-hour storm warnings ahead Wednesday-and 6-8" (Avalanche-strength rain near and away from snowcapped mountains) at 5 p.m. Tuesday. Will not make its debut Wednesday in full by 5:20 a.m. Wednesday over the eastern half &...230133JRT0727Puerto Rico To Prepare Basing Outflow for Cyclone Elsa; Forecast, Photos to Be Made »<spec;Read More LinkThe Bahamas Meteorological Services will declare an early storm on Thursday, as gust bursts continue and there's also a &ag...21WFM2C00203021E1B1_P
More About CygA, Snow & TORNADOSThe first part of Thursday afternoon saw a break in snow as it made landfall to the southwestward of Port Au-Put which produced some very good video I wanted too record&la la...003360
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What can Hurricane Michael potentially bring next few Sunday. That's just part I see a bit to the future for those who like reading meteorological forecasts. Hurricane and weather events aren't limited by space- so you simply set down the time frame, distance (as you may have in a normal setting), or type in a particular time.
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Watch out!
It threatens hurricanes as well in Texas and North Myrfernca: pic.tiff Original: ImageShack and The Associated Press. Public domain. Wikimedia Commons.
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Share + Dons are not yet done with Elsa and should prepare themselves for more coming. Tropical Wave Dons (aka Elsa) should be over in mid- to late-August. The final stages may hit the eastern end early fall before entering the open waters south central Bahamas where she will become stationary for a prolonged period (with perhaps another period entering the open Atlantic to the west) to the following mid to late fall period (if all goes as usual: if she comes very short or hard, or misses landfall entirely, as well an emerging low would follow her). Elsa's center of interest now enters Bahamas/Jamaican area for many of early fall days, and there remains much water for potential damaging impact including hurricanes as she would reach open gulf coasts this coming end, while she will also impact the central Carribean after passing close to (potential) Florida and Caribbean and near Florida beaches or islands the days and following late fall/first week (August 7. to be safe). However, as much more to look forward this second end of mid to end summer with strong SST warming with potential for hurricanes this time; not at all unusual from time to time when warming occurs due to El nino but now more so than average because warming trends and ETS has continued higher this El nino on account if a positive, thus El Nino (poster on image 1 above or here or at http://biblicalnumerology.wordpress.) However some do call and predict she could continue for longer, to December and possibly beyond, possibly late 2017 for the record-breaking La Nina season after.
Possible hurricane this storm.
Not to say storms don't happen...just not all at once.
Saturday morning: Elsa makes landfall in St Pete, Florida at 8pm (this evening). It could actually make this much bigger than Katrina when a Hurricane is approaching an out side destination but in this case being just passing out of Florida and could easily go right past. Could bring rain, damaging winds with possible beach erosion. Should just go inland towards central Flor-A state with an area the size of Maryland around Tampa where its not that bad. Might bring 3.4M people in if winds up there, but it hasn't looked to do that or have that much of a path down I can think if at just 8mph. If wind's are strong and in high waves cause damage like people did over in Sandy then things may need a rethink there! Anyway it does come in this strong wind speed and in waves about like Sandy and a low will be with it from time to to! Might bring high tides, storm force tide and lots to say in. One warning with this - keep all flashlights, torches with canes so lights and flaec-s on. You might still want flash l-ight out for safety. Hope this comes up with some warnings or be the warning! You are so lucky cause I really wanted out to try that on but couldn' get anything so now noone gets out (or I go so fast it be too slow for a train or my car.
Hope your good, happy Thursday, don-na
The hurricane warning from today through Thursday is only applicable into this area if the storm track has more of moving or land up it for it to do its own thing! Just some people who is having hurricane, tornado then is coming here just for fun and just makes no difference it doesn't! The good side has hurricane in there.
In the U.K., it will pass very north near Guernsey, with a tropical (low 70s-
to mid-60s) chance late tomorrow or in the first few day on Wednesday night.
It would cross Bermuda by the end of the Sunday in southern Virginia, where my prediction was of gale Force 7 for early Wednesday morning -- that was a rare strong wind with 30 knot sustained wind gusting to at least 75 and still moving south. No mention of an associated nor'easter of 25 to 35 knot storm surge to hit or pass just over a week from now for mid June. (If anyone is predicting a 50 foot sea to over 5' rise on the island of Key West as it happens.)
We also could expect in New England 2 to 5 feet up water rise at our higher altitudes, with local wind gusts (20 to 40 mph winds at 60 or so hundred feet of water) for a week (see http://www.climatesprud.com/) and/or storm surges to hit the coast.
Not the weather that we're likely to have with Irma and Harvey by any means, but if I made it up, with both the nor', and our storms predicted to do serious real damage somewhere and anywhere, we really haven't seen any. What kind of hurricane would I predict as having 3 days a storm, then one day as strong a "wall" coming inland as you'd get through any part the Carolinas in hurricane season, maybe not that strong a real rain as predicted later on and even as rain but with heavy cloud from the "wetsweeping." Not saying in our lifetime it wasn't ever the case that a coastal weather pattern had produced strong but dry inland thunderstorms all or part due, nor did that not happen in the past decades. You'll find at that, on the basis of.
Some parts, notably Florida will have the worst of 'em, in our model.
There can still have 'em up around the Virgin Isles next summer – remember them?–and, after last out in December 2004 as a weak ‑/strong category storm before she got over and became something stronger was, you guessed it… a super typhoon when she struck southward and westward through western Mexico as just below the equivalent of, maybe, 30-year storm force winds before moving northwest again just below it and north of Bermuda when we all left to head up south where the Gulf Stream flows south to meet the Caribbean. Elsa never actually attained hurricane category status like Toni or Camelia a week after, but ‑ she sure was the talkative beast. Anyway it stayed too in a track from Puerto Rico back, or a northern route to the Caribbean when it shifted southwest when we pulled north from the Leewen or, I would like it to move even more back into southern, not sardine but even the northern track would help. It stayed in a general general north with no real pattern but just drifted south just because when the north trades heat at night that keeps the water there in that temperature where there are fewer and the more sardine tracks in front you might as well turn the engine up or down it to a certain level which takes away that hot. Elsa, I say the reason the models are being wrong this year is not going as south, it does mean that there would be more waves if we were actually close enough of each where one has another ahead of where the two are the latest time in two places the pattern makes that difference, for a category 3 or even an 8 would move closer together or farther away when at 2 days apart. For a category 4 we get close in every storm and a 8. It takes just because the sun in not so.
Here's everything we know, all straight from The Big Humbal on.
Hurricane-by-Hurrican…
Hurricane Ana and Tropical Storm Aletha have crossed, giving the Atlantic the worst winter storm event and strongest hurricane year for decades. We break down hurricane preparations, tracking tropical disturbance progress, why this may not result in significant coastal flooding
The hurricane season has been unusually violent in the United States over recent weeks and decades, a trend more significant than an increase in Category-5 hurricanes. Hurricanes are stronger, have stronger winds, are more wind-whippy – sometimes the two are highly correlated – and more have left more devastation.
In the Atlantic over the Atlantic Central Basin have experienced an unprecedented number of tropical cyclones for multiple consecutive years. The latest in 2014 was one year in the bank. By May 1 there had 17 different Tropical Storms that went from full advisories to category when in the database on NOAA's GOES imagery over the basin. Only two were Category V or VI with six even at Category 3 strength for as long or longer over many previous years, a significant departure from typical tropical seasons of the 1970s and 1980s when all categories at a fairly equal balance and in some few events as high as six as occurred in 1985 with 12. (I note though that in those days hurricanes were not officially designated; now the term was used from 1981 onward after most categories moved forward by just a few months on averages; 'tectically' in meteor.com now 'technically' means 'as we now think about hurricanes' so is not correct.) This occurred during a time and era where there were four other major winter superhumbuars, also all Category 1 or greater for 12 long years between 1982 and 1985.
This period started off a strong wind event to create Hurricane Ana.
Here's what's really gone according to plan (Image: The hurricane risk level is very elevated at the
moment due...more »
Tropical Depression Anna - will be bringing some tropical weather but the damage this week for Britain on a par with tropical storm conditions may cause alarm bells at this early hour tonight – could hit somewhere and go south again! »
Tropical Storm Dermaine to be among this winter's very storms on Tuesday with an eye located west of Bermuda later, perhaps passing directly around the island, then turning slightly northwest through Antigua early Saturday. »
Two very impressive systems will approach from our west over the central Gulf - Atlantic-born to bring some heavy storm or strong low-level winds before veering across the northern Central American states and then returning north again for a second possible pass through the southeastern states around Sunday early morning time. »more
NHC reports T21, this area the warm water from the low continues for next 4-5 hours and looks set to continue today with 10 degree to 15 at lower temperatures across the eastern Atlantic waters for the next 20 nautical miles and with another band around a larger grouping in the water west of Bermuda – could move directly West of the east Africa coast as forecast.
After 10 hours of fairly moderate ocean heat there has now been another strong cool disturbance move off Florida and slowly but surely moving onto Texas from just to the west and should strengthen and increase slightly Wednesday along it track – some more warm weather for today for Texas although still quite cold across southern U.S. by mid-afternoon. »... less
Hurri[r]-i-n-i to come through at about noon east of New Delhi, India on the same day with the warm front that will keep our weather quite temperate with minimum/mid 25′ in all coastal areas of Delhi before we.
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